Copa del Rey Semi-finals
Global 6-0
Real Madrid vs Recreativo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
88.7%
Win probability
3.46
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.3%
10-1
0.1%
+9
0.4%
8-0
0.9%
9-1
0.2%
10-2
<0%
+8
1.1%
7-0
2%
8-1
0.5%
9-2
0.1%
+7
2.6%
6-0
4%
7-1
1.2%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
5.5%
5-0
7%
6-1
2.5%
7-2
0.4%
8-3
<0%
+5
9.9%
4-0
10.1%
5-1
4.3%
6-2
0.8%
7-3
0.1%
+4
15.3%
3-0
11.6%
4-1
6.3%
5-2
1.4%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
19.4%
2-0
10.1%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.6%
1-0
5.8%
2-1
6.3%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
14.8%
7.8%
Draw
0-0
1.7%
1-1
3.6%
2-2
2%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
0.1%
0
7.8%
3.4%
Win probability
0.62
Expected goals
0-1
1%
1-2
1.1%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0.1%
-1
2.6%
0-2
0.3%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0.1%
-2
0.6%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
-10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Real Madrid
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Apr. 1918 |
REC
0 - 2
RMA
22%
23%
55%
|
83 | 57 | 26 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 1918 |
RMA
2 - 1
ESP
72%
16%
13%
|
83 | 78 | 5 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 1918 |
RMA
1 - 0
ESP
71%
16%
13%
|
83 | 79 | 4 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 1918 |
ESP
3 - 0
RMA
47%
23%
30%
|
83 | 78 | 5 | 0 |
| 15 May. 1917 |
RMA
2 - 1
ARE
91%
7%
3%
|
83 | 50 | 33 | 0 |
Matches
Recreativo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Apr. 1918 |
REC
0 - 2
RMA
22%
23%
55%
|
57 | 83 | 26 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 1907 |
FCV
4 - 0
REC
7%
17%
77%
|
57 | 18 | 39 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 1907 |
HAM
2 - 0
REC
5%
15%
80%
|
57 | 9 | 48 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 1907 |
RVS
3 - 3
REC
8%
18%
74%
|
57 | 24 | 33 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 1906 |
ATH
2 - 1
REC
89%
8%
4%
|
58 | 82 | 24 | -1 |