Real Madrid vs Recreativo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
89.5%
Win probability
3.58
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.4%
10-1
0.1%
+9
0.5%
8-0
1%
9-1
0.2%
10-2
<0%
+8
1.3%
7-0
2.2%
8-1
0.6%
9-2
0.1%
+7
2.9%
6-0
4.4%
7-1
1.4%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
6%
5-0
7.3%
6-1
2.7%
7-2
0.4%
8-3
<0%
+5
10.5%
4-0
10.2%
5-1
4.6%
6-2
0.8%
7-3
0.1%
+4
15.7%
3-0
11.4%
4-1
6.4%
5-2
1.4%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
19.4%
2-0
9.6%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
19%
1-0
5.4%
2-1
6%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
14%
7.2%
Draw
0-0
1.5%
1-1
3.3%
2-2
1.9%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
0.1%
0
7.2%
3.1%
Win probability
0.62
Expected goals
0-1
0.9%
1-2
1%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0.1%
-1
2.4%
0-2
0.3%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0.1%
-2
0.6%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Real Madrid
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Apr. 1905 |
RMA
1 - 0
ATH
62%
19%
19%
|
83 | 82 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 1905 |
RMA
3 - 0
SSR
95%
4%
1%
|
83 | 9 | 74 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 1903 |
ATH
3 - 2
RMA
37%
25%
39%
|
83 | 82 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 1903 |
RMA
4 - 1
ESP
57%
23%
21%
|
82 | 80 | 2 | +1 |
| 14 May. 1902 |
FCB
3 - 1
RMA
57%
22%
21%
|
83 | 83 | 0 | -1 |