Copa del Rey Quarter-finals
Global 4-3
Real Madrid vs Real Zaragoza analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
69.6%
Win probability
2.4
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.3%
5-0
2.3%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.4%
4-0
4.9%
5-1
2.2%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.6%
3-0
8.2%
4-1
4.6%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
13.9%
2-0
10.2%
3-1
7.7%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.4%
1-0
8.5%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.5%
17.4%
Draw
0-0
3.5%
1-1
8%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
17.4%
13%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
0-1
3.3%
1-2
3.8%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
8.8%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3.1%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Real Madrid
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Jun. 1968 |
ZAR
3 - 2
RMA
50%
23%
28%
|
89 | 85 | 4 | 0 |
| 02 Jun. 1968 |
SEV
3 - 4
RMA
27%
25%
48%
|
89 | 71 | 18 | 0 |
| 26 May. 1968 |
RMA
1 - 0
SEV
84%
11%
6%
|
89 | 71 | 18 | 0 |
| 19 May. 1968 |
PUE
0 - 1
RMA
25%
25%
51%
|
89 | 62 | 27 | 0 |
| 15 May. 1968 |
RMA
3 - 3
MUD
57%
21%
22%
|
89 | 88 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Real Zaragoza
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Jun. 1968 |
ZAR
3 - 2
RMA
50%
23%
28%
|
85 | 89 | 4 | 0 |
| 02 Jun. 1968 |
ZAR
5 - 1
SAB
80%
13%
7%
|
84 | 73 | 11 | +1 |
| 26 May. 1968 |
SAB
0 - 0
ZAR
39%
24%
38%
|
84 | 72 | 12 | 0 |
| 19 May. 1968 |
EUR
0 - 1
ZAR
18%
23%
60%
|
84 | 50 | 34 | 0 |
| 12 May. 1968 |
ZAR
3 - 0
EUR
89%
8%
3%
|
84 | 51 | 33 | 0 |