Real Madrid vs Real Zaragoza analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
87.4%
Win probability
3.55
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.3%
10-1
0.1%
+9
0.4%
8-0
0.8%
9-1
0.2%
10-2
<0%
+8
1.1%
7-0
1.9%
8-1
0.6%
9-2
0.1%
+7
2.6%
6-0
3.8%
7-1
1.4%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
5.4%
5-0
6.4%
6-1
2.8%
7-2
0.5%
8-3
0.1%
+5
9.8%
4-0
9%
5-1
4.8%
6-2
1.1%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
14.9%
3-0
10.1%
4-1
6.7%
5-2
1.8%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
18.9%
2-0
8.6%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
2.5%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.2%
1-0
4.8%
2-1
6.4%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
14.8%
8.2%
Draw
0-0
1.4%
1-1
3.6%
2-2
2.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
8.2%
4.2%
Win probability
0.75
Expected goals
0-1
1%
1-2
1.4%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
3.1%
0-2
0.4%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
0.9%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Real Madrid
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Nov. 1962 |
ATM
1 - 1
RMA
36%
24%
40%
|
93 | 88 | 5 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 1962 |
RMA
2 - 1
SEV
86%
9%
5%
|
93 | 82 | 11 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 1962 |
VCF
2 - 1
RMA
27%
24%
49%
|
93 | 85 | 8 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 1962 |
RMA
2 - 1
OVI
90%
7%
3%
|
93 | 76 | 17 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 1962 |
VAD
4 - 2
RMA
17%
22%
62%
|
93 | 76 | 17 | 0 |
Matches
Real Zaragoza
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Dec. 1962 |
ZAR
2 - 4
ROM
73%
15%
13%
|
83 | 83 | 0 | 0 |
| 18 Nov. 1962 |
ZAR
2 - 1
BET
73%
15%
13%
|
82 | 81 | 1 | +1 |
| 11 Nov. 1962 |
ATH
0 - 2
ZAR
67%
18%
16%
|
82 | 85 | 3 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 1962 |
ZAR
6 - 1
MLL
80%
12%
8%
|
82 | 74 | 8 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 1962 |
OSA
1 - 2
ZAR
53%
21%
26%
|
82 | 75 | 7 | 0 |