Real Madrid vs Real Zaragoza analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
88.9%
Win probability
3.68
Expected goals
10-0
0.2%
+10
0.2%
9-0
0.4%
10-1
0.1%
+9
0.5%
8-0
1%
9-1
0.3%
10-2
<0%
+8
1.4%
7-0
2.2%
8-1
0.7%
9-2
0.1%
+7
3.1%
6-0
4.2%
7-1
1.6%
8-2
0.3%
9-3
<0%
+6
6.1%
5-0
6.9%
6-1
3.1%
7-2
0.6%
8-3
0.1%
+5
10.6%
4-0
9.4%
5-1
5%
6-2
1.1%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
15.6%
3-0
10.2%
4-1
6.8%
5-2
1.8%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
19%
2-0
8.3%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
2.4%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.6%
1-0
4.5%
2-1
6%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
13.8%
7.4%
Draw
0-0
1.2%
1-1
3.3%
2-2
2.2%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
7.4%
3.6%
Win probability
0.72
Expected goals
0-1
0.9%
1-2
1.2%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
2.7%
0-2
0.3%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
0.7%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.1%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Real Madrid
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Dec. 1956 |
RMA
2 - 0
RAP
79%
12%
10%
|
89 | 81 | 8 | 0 |
| 02 Dec. 1956 |
RMA
3 - 0
UDL
87%
8%
5%
|
89 | 74 | 15 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 1956 |
VCF
1 - 2
RMA
46%
22%
32%
|
89 | 83 | 6 | 0 |
| 18 Nov. 1956 |
RMA
3 - 0
RSO
88%
8%
4%
|
89 | 76 | 13 | 0 |
| 14 Nov. 1956 |
RAP
3 - 1
RMA
56%
19%
25%
|
89 | 80 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Real Zaragoza
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Dec. 1956 |
ZAR
0 - 0
VCF
36%
23%
41%
|
70 | 83 | 13 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 1956 |
RSO
1 - 1
ZAR
71%
16%
13%
|
70 | 76 | 6 | 0 |
| 18 Nov. 1956 |
ZAR
2 - 0
FCB
24%
24%
52%
|
68 | 89 | 21 | +2 |
| 11 Nov. 1956 |
ATH
5 - 0
ZAR
90%
7%
3%
|
69 | 89 | 20 | -1 |
| 04 Nov. 1956 |
ZAR
2 - 2
DEP
49%
22%
29%
|
69 | 74 | 5 | 0 |