Real Madrid vs Real Sociedad analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
69.4%
Win probability
2.69
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
1.7%
5-0
2.5%
6-1
1.3%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.1%
4-0
4.6%
5-1
2.9%
6-2
0.8%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
8.3%
3-0
6.8%
4-1
5.4%
5-2
1.7%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
14.2%
2-0
7.6%
3-1
8%
4-2
3.2%
5-3
0.7%
6-4
0.1%
+2
19.5%
1-0
5.6%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
4.7%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.7%
16.2%
Draw
0-0
2.1%
1-1
6.6%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
16.2%
14.4%
Win probability
1.18
Expected goals
0-1
2.5%
1-2
3.9%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
9.1%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
3.7%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Real Madrid
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Feb. 1930 |
RMA
4 - 1
ATM
71%
16%
14%
|
84 | 78 | 6 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 1930 |
RUN
2 - 2
RMA
44%
22%
34%
|
84 | 77 | 7 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 1930 |
RMA
2 - 3
ATH
60%
20%
21%
|
84 | 86 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 1930 |
FCB
1 - 4
RMA
67%
18%
15%
|
84 | 89 | 5 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 1930 |
RMA
5 - 2
ARE
74%
15%
12%
|
84 | 75 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Real Sociedad
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Feb. 1930 |
RSO
1 - 7
ATH
51%
22%
28%
|
81 | 86 | 5 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 1930 |
RAC
2 - 0
RSO
27%
20%
54%
|
82 | 70 | 12 | -1 |
| 02 Feb. 1930 |
RSO
1 - 2
FCB
42%
23%
35%
|
82 | 89 | 7 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 1930 |
RSO
1 - 0
ESP
54%
20%
26%
|
82 | 84 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 1930 |
RSO
2 - 3
RUN
68%
16%
16%
|
82 | 77 | 5 | 0 |