Real Madrid vs Real Oviedo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
69.4%
Win probability
2.72
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
1.8%
5-0
2.5%
6-1
1.3%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.1%
4-0
4.5%
5-1
2.9%
6-2
0.8%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
8.4%
3-0
6.7%
4-1
5.4%
5-2
1.8%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
14.2%
2-0
7.4%
3-1
8%
4-2
3.2%
5-3
0.7%
6-4
0.1%
+2
19.4%
1-0
5.4%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
4.8%
4-3
1.3%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.6%
16.1%
Draw
0-0
2%
1-1
6.5%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
0.1%
0
16.1%
14.4%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
0-1
2.4%
1-2
3.9%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
9.1%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
3.8%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Real Madrid
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Sep. 1949 |
RSO
1 - 1
RMA
41%
23%
37%
|
84 | 76 | 8 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 1949 |
RMA
6 - 1
FCB
49%
22%
29%
|
83 | 88 | 5 | +1 |
| 11 Sep. 1949 |
DEP
3 - 0
RMA
38%
23%
39%
|
83 | 75 | 8 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 1949 |
RMA
4 - 2
SEV
66%
18%
16%
|
83 | 82 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 1949 |
ATH
3 - 1
RMA
68%
16%
16%
|
84 | 83 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Real Oviedo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Sep. 1949 |
OVI
1 - 1
GIM
64%
18%
18%
|
79 | 74 | 5 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 1949 |
ATH
3 - 0
OVI
74%
14%
12%
|
79 | 84 | 5 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 1949 |
OVI
2 - 3
ESP
61%
19%
20%
|
80 | 78 | 2 | -1 |
| 04 Sep. 1949 |
CEL
3 - 1
OVI
60%
19%
21%
|
80 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 1949 |
SAB
2 - 2
OVI
37%
22%
40%
|
81 | 67 | 14 | -1 |