Real Madrid vs Real Oviedo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
73.9%
Win probability
2.93
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.9%
6-0
1.5%
7-1
0.7%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
2.4%
5-0
3.1%
6-1
1.7%
7-2
0.4%
8-3
0.1%
+5
5.3%
4-0
5.3%
5-1
3.5%
6-2
1%
7-3
0.2%
8-4
<0%
+4
9.9%
3-0
7.2%
4-1
6%
5-2
2%
6-3
0.4%
7-4
<0%
+3
15.6%
2-0
7.4%
3-1
8.2%
4-2
3.4%
5-3
0.7%
6-4
0.1%
+2
19.8%
1-0
5.1%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
4.6%
4-3
1.3%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
19.6%
14.3%
Draw
0-0
1.7%
1-1
5.7%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
14.3%
11.7%
Win probability
1.13
Expected goals
0-1
2%
1-2
3.2%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
7.6%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
3%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Real Madrid
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Jan. 1941 |
ESP
3 - 2
RMA
45%
22%
32%
|
88 | 81 | 7 | 0 |
| 29 Dec. 1940 |
RMA
1 - 4
ATM
76%
14%
10%
|
88 | 82 | 6 | 0 |
| 22 Dec. 1940 |
HER
0 - 3
RMA
33%
24%
43%
|
88 | 78 | 10 | 0 |
| 15 Dec. 1940 |
RMA
6 - 0
ZAR
83%
11%
6%
|
88 | 75 | 13 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 1940 |
RMA
6 - 1
VCF
74%
14%
11%
|
88 | 78 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Real Oviedo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Jan. 1941 |
OVI
2 - 1
MUR
86%
8%
5%
|
79 | 63 | 16 | 0 |
| 29 Dec. 1940 |
CEL
3 - 1
OVI
49%
20%
32%
|
79 | 72 | 7 | 0 |
| 22 Dec. 1940 |
SEV
4 - 1
OVI
64%
17%
19%
|
80 | 82 | 2 | -1 |
| 15 Dec. 1940 |
OVI
3 - 3
ESP
62%
18%
21%
|
80 | 81 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 1940 |
OVI
4 - 3
ATM
65%
17%
18%
|
79 | 81 | 2 | +1 |