Real Madrid vs Real Murcia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
83.5%
Win probability
2.83
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.4%
7-0
1%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.2%
6-0
2.4%
7-1
0.6%
8-2
0.1%
+6
3%
5-0
5%
6-1
1.4%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
6.5%
4-0
8.8%
5-1
2.9%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
12.2%
3-0
12.5%
4-1
5.1%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
18.5%
2-0
13.2%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
22.1%
1-0
9.3%
2-1
7.7%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.4%
11.4%
Draw
0-0
3.3%
1-1
5.4%
2-2
2.2%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
11.4%
5.1%
Win probability
0.58
Expected goals
0-1
1.9%
1-2
1.6%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0.1%
-1
4%
0-2
0.6%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0.1%
-2
0.9%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Real Madrid
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Dec. 1986 |
RMA
1 - 0
ESP
77%
15%
9%
|
87 | 80 | 7 | 0 |
| 07 Dec. 1986 |
ATM
1 - 1
RMA
42%
26%
32%
|
87 | 86 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Nov. 1986 |
VAD
1 - 1
RMA
30%
26%
45%
|
88 | 79 | 9 | -1 |
| 16 Nov. 1986 |
RMA
2 - 4
ATH
72%
18%
10%
|
88 | 85 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 Nov. 1986 |
SEV
0 - 1
RMA
23%
26%
51%
|
88 | 79 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Real Murcia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Dec. 1986 |
VAD
4 - 0
MUR
65%
21%
15%
|
74 | 78 | 4 | 0 |
| 07 Dec. 1986 |
MUR
2 - 0
ATH
35%
29%
36%
|
73 | 86 | 13 | +1 |
| 23 Nov. 1986 |
SEV
4 - 0
MUR
57%
25%
18%
|
74 | 78 | 4 | -1 |
| 16 Nov. 1986 |
MUR
2 - 0
SAB
63%
21%
15%
|
73 | 68 | 5 | +1 |
| 08 Nov. 1986 |
CAD
0 - 1
MUR
55%
25%
20%
|
73 | 73 | 0 | 0 |