Real Madrid vs Real Murcia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
80.8%
Win probability
3.19
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.4%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.6%
7-0
1.1%
8-1
0.4%
9-2
0.1%
+7
1.5%
6-0
2.3%
7-1
1%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
3.6%
5-0
4.4%
6-1
2.2%
7-2
0.5%
8-3
0.1%
+5
7.1%
4-0
6.9%
5-1
4.2%
6-2
1.1%
7-3
0.2%
8-4
<0%
+4
12.3%
3-0
8.6%
4-1
6.5%
5-2
2%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
17.5%
2-0
8.1%
3-1
8.2%
4-2
3.1%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
20.1%
1-0
5.1%
2-1
7.7%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
17.8%
11.5%
Draw
0-0
1.6%
1-1
4.8%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
11.5%
7.6%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
0-1
1.5%
1-2
2.3%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
5.3%
0-2
0.7%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0.1%
-2
1.8%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
+13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Real Madrid
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Oct. 1945 |
SEV
2 - 1
RMA
56%
20%
24%
|
86 | 82 | 4 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 1945 |
RMA
1 - 1
VCF
63%
18%
19%
|
86 | 86 | 0 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 1945 |
CAS
0 - 3
RMA
39%
24%
37%
|
86 | 76 | 10 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 1945 |
RMA
1 - 1
ATH
64%
18%
18%
|
86 | 86 | 0 | 0 |
| 20 May. 1945 |
RMA
4 - 1
SPO
78%
13%
9%
|
86 | 76 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Real Murcia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Oct. 1945 |
VCF
2 - 0
MUR
82%
11%
7%
|
71 | 86 | 15 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 1945 |
MUR
0 - 0
ATH
37%
23%
40%
|
71 | 86 | 15 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 1945 |
ATM
0 - 0
MUR
80%
12%
8%
|
70 | 83 | 13 | +1 |
| 23 Sep. 1945 |
MUR
2 - 3
ALC
61%
19%
20%
|
71 | 71 | 0 | -1 |
| 20 May. 1945 |
ESP
1 - 0
MUR
68%
17%
15%
|
71 | 79 | 8 | 0 |