Copa del Rey 1/16
Global 6-0
Real Madrid vs Real Murcia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
85.8%
Win probability
3.45
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.3%
10-1
0.1%
+9
0.3%
8-0
0.7%
9-1
0.2%
10-2
<0%
+8
1%
7-0
1.6%
8-1
0.6%
9-2
0.1%
+7
2.3%
6-0
3.3%
7-1
1.3%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
4.9%
5-0
5.8%
6-1
2.7%
7-2
0.5%
8-3
0.1%
+5
9.1%
4-0
8.4%
5-1
4.7%
6-2
1.1%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
14.3%
3-0
9.7%
4-1
6.7%
5-2
1.9%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
18.7%
2-0
8.5%
3-1
7.8%
4-2
2.7%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
19.5%
1-0
4.9%
2-1
6.8%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
15.7%
9.1%
Draw
0-0
1.4%
1-1
3.9%
2-2
2.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
9.1%
5%
Win probability
0.8
Expected goals
0-1
1.1%
1-2
1.6%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
3.6%
0-2
0.5%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
+8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Real Madrid
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 May. 1940 |
MUR
0 - 4
RMA
27%
22%
51%
|
89 | 60 | 29 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 1940 |
ATH
3 - 1
RMA
63%
18%
19%
|
89 | 87 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 1940 |
RMA
0 - 1
HER
80%
12%
8%
|
89 | 78 | 11 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 1940 |
FCB
0 - 0
RMA
39%
23%
38%
|
89 | 83 | 6 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 1940 |
RMA
5 - 1
ZAR
90%
7%
3%
|
89 | 73 | 16 | 0 |
Matches
Real Murcia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 May. 1940 |
MUR
0 - 4
RMA
27%
22%
51%
|
60 | 89 | 29 | 0 |
| 05 May. 1940 |
CAD
0 - 2
MUR
60%
19%
21%
|
59 | 59 | 0 | +1 |
| 02 May. 1940 |
MUR
3 - 2
DEP
60%
19%
21%
|
58 | 58 | 0 | +1 |
| 21 Apr. 1940 |
RSO
3 - 1
MUR
71%
15%
14%
|
59 | 62 | 3 | -1 |
| 14 Apr. 1940 |
MUR
2 - 1
LEV
57%
20%
24%
|
58 | 60 | 2 | +1 |