Real Madrid vs Real Jaén analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
88.4%
Win probability
3.79
Expected goals
10-0
0.2%
+10
0.2%
9-0
0.4%
10-1
0.1%
+9
0.6%
8-0
1.1%
9-1
0.4%
10-2
0.1%
+8
1.5%
7-0
2.2%
8-1
0.9%
9-2
0.1%
10-3
<0%
+7
3.2%
6-0
4.1%
7-1
1.8%
8-2
0.3%
9-3
<0%
+6
6.3%
5-0
6.5%
6-1
3.3%
7-2
0.7%
8-3
0.1%
+5
10.7%
4-0
8.6%
5-1
5.3%
6-2
1.4%
7-3
0.2%
8-4
<0%
+4
15.5%
3-0
9.1%
4-1
7%
5-2
2.1%
6-3
0.4%
7-4
<0%
+3
18.7%
2-0
7.2%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
2.8%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
18.1%
1-0
3.8%
2-1
5.9%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
13.6%
7.5%
Draw
0-0
1%
1-1
3.1%
2-2
2.4%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
7.5%
4%
Win probability
0.81
Expected goals
0-1
0.8%
1-2
1.3%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
2.9%
0-2
0.3%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
0.8%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
+12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Real Madrid
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Oct. 1956 |
ATM
2 - 4
RMA
51%
21%
29%
|
89 | 84 | 5 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 1956 |
RMA
3 - 1
VAD
84%
10%
6%
|
89 | 80 | 9 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 1956 |
OSA
2 - 0
RMA
24%
22%
53%
|
89 | 68 | 21 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 1956 |
RMA
1 - 1
SEV
75%
14%
12%
|
89 | 85 | 4 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 1956 |
ESP
0 - 0
RMA
35%
23%
42%
|
89 | 82 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Real Jaén
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Oct. 1956 |
RJA
2 - 2
VCF
31%
23%
46%
|
64 | 84 | 20 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 1956 |
RSO
2 - 0
RJA
73%
15%
12%
|
65 | 78 | 13 | -1 |
| 30 Sep. 1956 |
RJA
1 - 2
FCB
23%
24%
53%
|
65 | 89 | 24 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 1956 |
ATH
3 - 1
RJA
90%
7%
4%
|
65 | 90 | 25 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 1956 |
RJA
2 - 3
DEP
44%
22%
33%
|
66 | 75 | 9 | -1 |