Real Madrid vs Real Burgos CF analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
92.5%
Win probability
3.52
Expected goals
10-0
0.2%
+10
0.2%
9-0
0.5%
10-1
0.1%
+9
0.5%
8-0
1.2%
9-1
0.2%
10-2
<0%
+8
1.4%
7-0
2.7%
8-1
0.4%
9-2
<0%
+7
3.2%
6-0
5.4%
7-1
1%
8-2
0.1%
+6
6.5%
5-0
9.2%
6-1
2%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
11.4%
4-0
13%
5-1
3.4%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
16.8%
3-0
14.8%
4-1
4.9%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
<0%
+3
20.4%
2-0
12.6%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.2%
1-0
7.2%
2-1
4.7%
3-2
1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
13.1%
5.8%
Draw
0-0
2%
1-1
2.7%
2-2
0.9%
3-3
0.1%
4-4
<0%
0
5.8%
1.6%
Win probability
0.38
Expected goals
0-1
0.8%
1-2
0.5%
2-3
0.1%
3-4
0%
-1
1.4%
0-2
0.1%
1-3
0.1%
2-4
0%
-2
0.2%
0-3
0%
-3
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Real Madrid
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Mar. 1991 |
RMA
1 - 1
OVI
90%
7%
3%
|
89 | 75 | 14 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 1991 |
RMA
1 - 3
SPA
90%
6%
3%
|
89 | 85 | 4 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 1991 |
LOG
1 - 0
RMA
16%
26%
58%
|
89 | 77 | 12 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 1991 |
RMA
2 - 3
RSO
89%
8%
3%
|
90 | 81 | 9 | -1 |
| 06 Mar. 1991 |
SPA
0 - 0
RMA
28%
26%
46%
|
90 | 85 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Real Burgos CF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Mar. 1991 |
RBU
1 - 1
ATM
21%
29%
50%
|
70 | 87 | 17 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 1991 |
OVI
1 - 1
RBU
64%
23%
13%
|
70 | 75 | 5 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 1991 |
RBU
1 - 1
SPO
32%
31%
37%
|
70 | 81 | 11 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 1991 |
LOG
0 - 0
RBU
59%
26%
15%
|
70 | 77 | 7 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 1991 |
RBU
1 - 1
OSA
31%
31%
39%
|
69 | 81 | 12 | +1 |