Real Madrid vs Rayo Vallecano analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
83.8%
Win probability
2.95
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.4%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.5%
7-0
1.1%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.3%
6-0
2.5%
7-1
0.7%
8-2
0.1%
+6
3.3%
5-0
5.2%
6-1
1.6%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
7%
4-0
8.8%
5-1
3.3%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
<0%
+4
12.6%
3-0
11.9%
4-1
5.5%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
18.6%
2-0
12.2%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.6%
1-0
8.2%
2-1
7.6%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.7%
10.9%
Draw
0-0
2.8%
1-1
5.2%
2-2
2.4%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
0.1%
0
10.9%
5.2%
Win probability
0.63
Expected goals
0-1
1.8%
1-2
1.6%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
4%
0-2
0.6%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
+7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Real Madrid
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Dec. 2015 |
VIL
1 - 0
RMA
14%
20%
67%
|
94 | 86 | 8 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 2015 |
RMA
8 - 0
MFF
88%
9%
3%
|
94 | 80 | 14 | 0 |
| 05 Dec. 2015 |
RMA
4 - 1
GET
84%
11%
5%
|
93 | 84 | 9 | +1 |
| 02 Dec. 2015 |
CAD
3 - 0
RMA
4%
13%
83%
|
94 | 63 | 31 | -1 |
| 29 Nov. 2015 |
EIB
0 - 2
RMA
7%
16%
77%
|
94 | 81 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
Rayo Vallecano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Dec. 2015 |
GET
3 - 1
RAY
44%
26%
30%
|
83 | 84 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Dec. 2015 |
RAY
1 - 2
MAL
47%
25%
28%
|
83 | 85 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 Dec. 2015 |
VIL
2 - 1
RAY
54%
23%
23%
|
83 | 86 | 3 | 0 |
| 02 Dec. 2015 |
RAY
2 - 0
GET
45%
25%
30%
|
82 | 85 | 3 | +1 |
| 29 Nov. 2015 |
RAY
0 - 3
ATH
37%
26%
37%
|
83 | 88 | 5 | -1 |