Champions League Last 16
Global 7-5
Real Madrid vs Rapid Wien analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
78.6%
Win probability
3.39
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
0.1%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.4%
9-1
0.2%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.7%
7-0
1%
8-1
0.5%
9-2
0.1%
10-3
<0%
+7
1.7%
6-0
2.1%
7-1
1.2%
8-2
0.3%
9-3
<0%
+6
3.7%
5-0
3.8%
6-1
2.6%
7-2
0.8%
8-3
0.1%
9-4
<0%
+5
7.2%
4-0
5.6%
5-1
4.5%
6-2
1.5%
7-3
0.3%
8-4
<0%
+4
12%
3-0
6.6%
4-1
6.7%
5-2
2.7%
6-3
0.6%
7-4
0.1%
+3
16.7%
2-0
5.8%
3-1
7.9%
4-2
4%
5-3
1.1%
6-4
0.2%
7-5
<0%
+2
19%
1-0
3.4%
2-1
7%
3-2
4.8%
4-3
1.6%
5-4
0.3%
6-5
<0%
+1
17.2%
11.8%
Draw
0-0
1%
1-1
4.1%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
11.8%
9.5%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
0-1
1.2%
1-2
2.5%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
6.1%
0-2
0.7%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
2.4%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Real Madrid
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Dec. 1956 |
RMA
3 - 0
UDL
87%
8%
5%
|
89 | 74 | 15 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 1956 |
VCF
1 - 2
RMA
46%
22%
32%
|
89 | 84 | 5 | 0 |
| 18 Nov. 1956 |
RMA
3 - 0
RSO
88%
8%
4%
|
89 | 76 | 13 | 0 |
| 14 Nov. 1956 |
RAP
3 - 1
RMA
56%
19%
25%
|
89 | 80 | 9 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 1956 |
FCB
1 - 0
RMA
63%
18%
19%
|
89 | 89 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Rapid Wien
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Dec. 1956 |
SIM
1 - 2
RAP
44%
21%
35%
|
80 | 76 | 4 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 1956 |
SWW
1 - 0
RAP
56%
18%
26%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | 0 |
| 18 Nov. 1956 |
RAP
3 - 1
WIE
72%
14%
14%
|
80 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Nov. 1956 |
RAP
3 - 1
RMA
56%
19%
25%
|
80 | 89 | 9 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 1956 |
STR
1 - 0
RAP
23%
19%
58%
|
80 | 62 | 18 | 0 |