Real Madrid vs Racing analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
86.9%
Win probability
3.05
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.5%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.6%
7-0
1.4%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.7%
6-0
3.2%
7-1
0.7%
8-2
0.1%
+6
3.9%
5-0
6.2%
6-1
1.6%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
8%
4-0
10.2%
5-1
3.2%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
13.8%
3-0
13.3%
4-1
5.3%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
19.5%
2-0
13.1%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.5%
1-0
8.6%
2-1
6.8%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.4%
9.4%
Draw
0-0
2.8%
1-1
4.5%
2-2
1.8%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
9.4%
3.7%
Win probability
0.52
Expected goals
0-1
1.5%
1-2
1.2%
2-3
0.3%
3-4
0%
-1
3%
0-2
0.4%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0%
-2
0.6%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Real Madrid
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Dec. 1981 |
FCB
3 - 1
RMA
59%
22%
19%
|
88 | 88 | 0 | 0 |
| 13 Dec. 1981 |
RMA
4 - 0
CAS
89%
8%
3%
|
88 | 63 | 25 | 0 |
| 09 Dec. 1981 |
RMA
0 - 0
RAP
83%
12%
5%
|
88 | 77 | 11 | 0 |
| 06 Dec. 1981 |
SPO
0 - 1
RMA
41%
27%
33%
|
88 | 84 | 4 | 0 |
| 29 Nov. 1981 |
RMA
2 - 1
UDL
82%
12%
6%
|
88 | 77 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Racing
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Dec. 1981 |
RAC
1 - 3
ATH
34%
28%
38%
|
69 | 82 | 13 | 0 |
| 13 Dec. 1981 |
OSA
2 - 1
RAC
71%
18%
11%
|
69 | 72 | 3 | 0 |
| 06 Dec. 1981 |
RAC
2 - 1
ESP
50%
27%
23%
|
69 | 75 | 6 | 0 |
| 29 Nov. 1981 |
VCF
3 - 0
RAC
83%
12%
5%
|
69 | 84 | 15 | 0 |
| 22 Nov. 1981 |
RAC
0 - 1
ZAR
44%
28%
28%
|
70 | 78 | 8 | -1 |