Real Madrid vs Racing analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
83.4%
Win probability
2.87
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.4%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.4%
7-0
1%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.2%
6-0
2.4%
7-1
0.6%
8-2
0.1%
+6
3.1%
5-0
5%
6-1
1.5%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
6.7%
4-0
8.7%
5-1
3%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
12.3%
3-0
12.2%
4-1
5.3%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
18.5%
2-0
12.7%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.9%
1-0
8.9%
2-1
7.7%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.2%
11.3%
Draw
0-0
3.1%
1-1
5.4%
2-2
2.3%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
11.3%
5.2%
Win probability
0.61
Expected goals
0-1
1.9%
1-2
1.6%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
4%
0-2
0.6%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
+9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Real Madrid
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 May. 1979 |
SEV
2 - 1
RMA
28%
27%
45%
|
88 | 78 | 10 | 0 |
| 20 May. 1979 |
RMA
4 - 1
RAY
84%
11%
5%
|
87 | 70 | 17 | +1 |
| 13 May. 1979 |
RSO
0 - 0
RMA
39%
25%
36%
|
87 | 82 | 5 | 0 |
| 06 May. 1979 |
RMA
2 - 1
ZAR
80%
13%
7%
|
87 | 76 | 11 | 0 |
| 02 May. 1979 |
RMA
2 - 0
ZAR
82%
12%
6%
|
87 | 77 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Racing
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 May. 1979 |
RAC
2 - 4
SLA
52%
26%
22%
|
71 | 77 | 6 | 0 |
| 19 May. 1979 |
VCF
3 - 1
RAC
73%
17%
10%
|
71 | 82 | 11 | 0 |
| 13 May. 1979 |
HER
1 - 0
RAC
57%
25%
19%
|
72 | 76 | 4 | -1 |
| 06 May. 1979 |
RAC
2 - 3
SEV
49%
26%
25%
|
72 | 78 | 6 | 0 |
| 02 May. 1979 |
SEV
2 - 1
RAC
60%
21%
19%
|
73 | 78 | 5 | -1 |