Real Madrid vs Racing analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
75%
Win probability
2.55
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.3%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.8%
5-0
3.1%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.4%
4-0
6.1%
5-1
2.5%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
9.1%
3-0
9.6%
4-1
5%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
15.7%
2-0
11.3%
3-1
7.8%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.4%
1-0
8.8%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.7%
15.3%
Draw
0-0
3.5%
1-1
7.2%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
15.3%
9.7%
Win probability
0.81
Expected goals
0-1
2.8%
1-2
2.9%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
6.9%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
+12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Real Madrid
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 May. 1977 |
UDL
4 - 2
RMA
46%
25%
30%
|
85 | 78 | 7 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 1977 |
RMA
0 - 1
BET
71%
18%
11%
|
85 | 78 | 7 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 1977 |
ELC
1 - 1
RMA
35%
27%
39%
|
85 | 74 | 11 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 1977 |
RMA
4 - 1
ESP
65%
20%
15%
|
85 | 80 | 5 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 1977 |
RSO
1 - 1
RMA
49%
24%
27%
|
84 | 79 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
Racing
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 May. 1977 |
ATM
5 - 1
RAC
76%
15%
9%
|
71 | 86 | 15 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 1977 |
RAC
2 - 1
UDL
51%
26%
24%
|
71 | 79 | 8 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 1977 |
BET
2 - 1
RAC
60%
23%
18%
|
71 | 77 | 6 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 1977 |
RAC
2 - 1
ELC
57%
24%
19%
|
70 | 74 | 4 | +1 |
| 20 Mar. 1977 |
ESP
2 - 1
RAC
67%
19%
14%
|
69 | 79 | 10 | +1 |