Real Madrid vs Racing analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
62.9%
Win probability
2.42
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.1%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.8%
4-0
3.6%
5-1
2.2%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
6.4%
3-0
6%
4-1
4.5%
5-2
1.4%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
12.1%
2-0
7.4%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
2.9%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
18.4%
1-0
6.1%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
4.7%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.6%
18.5%
Draw
0-0
2.5%
1-1
7.7%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
18.5%
18.6%
Win probability
1.26
Expected goals
0-1
3.2%
1-2
4.9%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
11.2%
0-2
2%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
5%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
+10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Real Madrid
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Jan. 1933 |
FCB
1 - 1
RMA
66%
18%
16%
|
85 | 86 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Dec. 1932 |
RMA
6 - 0
VCF
68%
17%
15%
|
84 | 72 | 12 | +1 |
| 18 Dec. 1932 |
RMA
4 - 1
BET
70%
17%
13%
|
84 | 72 | 12 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 1932 |
ALA
0 - 1
RMA
35%
24%
41%
|
84 | 71 | 13 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 1932 |
RMA
6 - 2
RSO
61%
20%
19%
|
84 | 80 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Racing
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Jan. 1933 |
RAC
2 - 2
BET
60%
20%
21%
|
76 | 72 | 4 | 0 |
| 25 Dec. 1932 |
ARE
2 - 1
RAC
48%
20%
31%
|
76 | 76 | 0 | 0 |
| 18 Dec. 1932 |
RAC
2 - 0
VCF
56%
20%
24%
|
76 | 73 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 1932 |
ESP
2 - 1
RAC
58%
20%
23%
|
76 | 81 | 5 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 1932 |
RAC
0 - 1
ATH
35%
24%
41%
|
76 | 89 | 13 | 0 |