Copa del Rey 1/16
Global 5-2
Real Madrid vs Racing analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
67.1%
Win probability
2.78
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.6%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
1.7%
5-0
2.2%
6-1
1.4%
7-2
0.4%
8-3
0.1%
+5
4%
4-0
4%
5-1
3%
6-2
0.9%
7-3
0.2%
8-4
<0%
+4
8.1%
3-0
5.7%
4-1
5.4%
5-2
2%
6-3
0.4%
7-4
0.1%
+3
13.6%
2-0
6.1%
3-1
7.8%
4-2
3.7%
5-3
0.9%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
18.7%
1-0
4.4%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
5.3%
4-3
1.7%
5-4
0.3%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.1%
16.3%
Draw
0-0
1.6%
1-1
6%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
2.4%
4-4
0.6%
5-5
0.1%
0
16.3%
16.5%
Win probability
1.36
Expected goals
0-1
2.2%
1-2
4.1%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
9.8%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
4.5%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0.1%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
2-7
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Real Madrid
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Mar. 1933 |
RMA
0 - 1
ATH
47%
22%
31%
|
86 | 89 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 1933 |
RMA
8 - 2
ARE
67%
18%
15%
|
85 | 77 | 8 | +1 |
| 12 Mar. 1933 |
RAC
4 - 2
RMA
46%
23%
31%
|
86 | 76 | 10 | -1 |
| 05 Mar. 1933 |
RMA
2 - 1
FCB
54%
22%
25%
|
86 | 86 | 0 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 1933 |
VCF
0 - 1
RMA
45%
23%
31%
|
86 | 73 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
Racing
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Mar. 1933 |
RAC
4 - 4
FCB
44%
23%
33%
|
76 | 86 | 10 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 1933 |
RSO
8 - 0
RAC
59%
19%
23%
|
77 | 79 | 2 | -1 |
| 12 Mar. 1933 |
RAC
4 - 2
RMA
46%
23%
31%
|
76 | 86 | 10 | +1 |
| 05 Mar. 1933 |
BET
3 - 2
RAC
36%
21%
43%
|
76 | 70 | 6 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 1933 |
RAC
2 - 1
ARE
53%
21%
26%
|
76 | 78 | 2 | 0 |