Real Madrid vs Racing analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
82%
Win probability
3.51
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
0.1%
+9
0.3%
8-0
0.6%
9-1
0.2%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.9%
7-0
1.3%
8-1
0.6%
9-2
0.1%
10-3
<0%
+7
2.1%
6-0
2.6%
7-1
1.4%
8-2
0.3%
9-3
<0%
+6
4.5%
5-0
4.5%
6-1
2.9%
7-2
0.8%
8-3
0.1%
9-4
<0%
+5
8.3%
4-0
6.4%
5-1
4.9%
6-2
1.5%
7-3
0.3%
8-4
<0%
+4
13.2%
3-0
7.3%
4-1
6.9%
5-2
2.6%
6-3
0.6%
7-4
0.1%
+3
17.5%
2-0
6.2%
3-1
7.9%
4-2
3.7%
5-3
0.9%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
19%
1-0
3.6%
2-1
6.7%
3-2
4.3%
4-3
1.3%
5-4
0.3%
6-5
<0%
+1
16.2%
10.4%
Draw
0-0
1%
1-1
3.8%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
0.1%
0
10.4%
7.4%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
0-1
1.1%
1-2
2.1%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
5%
0-2
0.6%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
1.8%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
2-6
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Real Madrid
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Dec. 1929 |
RMA
2 - 4
ESP
58%
20%
23%
|
83 | 83 | 0 | 0 |
| 22 Dec. 1929 |
RSO
4 - 0
RMA
53%
21%
27%
|
83 | 81 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 Dec. 1929 |
ATM
2 - 1
RMA
47%
22%
31%
|
84 | 79 | 5 | -1 |
| 08 Dec. 1929 |
RMA
2 - 2
RUN
72%
15%
13%
|
84 | 76 | 8 | 0 |
| 01 Dec. 1929 |
ATH
2 - 1
RMA
56%
20%
24%
|
84 | 84 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Racing
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Dec. 1929 |
RAC
3 - 2
ATM
33%
20%
47%
|
70 | 79 | 9 | 0 |
| 22 Dec. 1929 |
FCB
5 - 0
RAC
82%
11%
7%
|
71 | 89 | 18 | -1 |
| 15 Dec. 1929 |
RAC
2 - 5
ARE
54%
21%
26%
|
71 | 73 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 1929 |
RSO
7 - 0
RAC
77%
13%
11%
|
72 | 81 | 9 | -1 |
| 01 Dec. 1929 |
RAC
4 - 1
ESP
37%
23%
40%
|
71 | 84 | 13 | +1 |