Copa del Rey Quarter-finals
Global 9-3
Real Madrid vs Racing Club Madrid analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
80.1%
Win probability
3.19
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.4%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.6%
7-0
1%
8-1
0.4%
9-2
0.1%
+7
1.5%
6-0
2.3%
7-1
1%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
3.5%
5-0
4.2%
6-1
2.2%
7-2
0.5%
8-3
0.1%
+5
7%
4-0
6.7%
5-1
4.2%
6-2
1.1%
7-3
0.2%
8-4
<0%
+4
12.1%
3-0
8.4%
4-1
6.5%
5-2
2%
6-3
0.4%
7-4
<0%
+3
17.3%
2-0
7.9%
3-1
8.2%
4-2
3.2%
5-3
0.7%
6-4
0.1%
+2
20%
1-0
4.9%
2-1
7.7%
3-2
4%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
17.9%
11.8%
Draw
0-0
1.5%
1-1
4.8%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
11.8%
8%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
0-1
1.5%
1-2
2.4%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0.1%
-1
5.5%
0-2
0.7%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0.1%
-2
1.9%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Real Madrid
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Dec. 1928 |
LOG
0 - 5
RMA
23%
22%
54%
|
79 | 53 | 26 | 0 |
| 23 Dec. 1928 |
RMA
8 - 0
LOG
86%
9%
5%
|
78 | 53 | 25 | +1 |
| 16 Dec. 1928 |
OVI
2 - 4
RMA
44%
23%
34%
|
78 | 69 | 9 | 0 |
| 09 Dec. 1928 |
RMA
5 - 0
OVI
71%
15%
13%
|
77 | 70 | 7 | +1 |
| 29 Apr. 1928 |
VCF
2 - 1
RMA
54%
21%
25%
|
78 | 77 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Racing Club Madrid
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Dec. 1928 |
RCM
2 - 1
VCF
37%
24%
39%
|
62 | 75 | 13 | 0 |
| 23 Dec. 1928 |
VCF
1 - 3
RCM
76%
14%
10%
|
60 | 77 | 17 | +2 |
| 16 Dec. 1928 |
RCM
3 - 0
ISC
58%
20%
22%
|
59 | 57 | 2 | +1 |
| 09 Dec. 1928 |
ISC
2 - 0
RCM
51%
22%
27%
|
60 | 56 | 4 | -1 |
| 01 Apr. 1919 |
ARE
3 - 0
RCM
37%
23%
40%
|
62 | 50 | 12 | -2 |