Copa del Rey 1/16
Global 3-0
Real Madrid vs Puertollano analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
85.9%
Win probability
3.05
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.5%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.6%
7-0
1.3%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.6%
6-0
3%
7-1
0.8%
8-2
0.1%
+6
3.8%
5-0
5.9%
6-1
1.7%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
7.8%
4-0
9.6%
5-1
3.4%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
<0%
+4
13.5%
3-0
12.6%
4-1
5.5%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
19.2%
2-0
12.3%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.4%
1-0
8.1%
2-1
7.1%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.7%
9.8%
Draw
0-0
2.6%
1-1
4.7%
2-2
2.1%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
9.8%
4.3%
Win probability
0.58
Expected goals
0-1
1.5%
1-2
1.4%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0.1%
-1
3.3%
0-2
0.4%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0.1%
-2
0.8%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Real Madrid
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Apr. 1968 |
MAL
1 - 0
RMA
20%
27%
54%
|
89 | 71 | 18 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 1968 |
MUD
1 - 0
RMA
58%
21%
21%
|
89 | 89 | 0 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 1968 |
RMA
2 - 1
UDL
79%
14%
7%
|
89 | 79 | 10 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 1968 |
RMA
1 - 0
PON
82%
13%
6%
|
89 | 77 | 12 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 1968 |
FCB
1 - 1
RMA
52%
24%
25%
|
89 | 87 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Puertollano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Apr. 1968 |
CAD
4 - 1
PUE
46%
28%
26%
|
63 | 57 | 6 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 1968 |
PUE
2 - 0
LEV
69%
20%
12%
|
63 | 56 | 7 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 1968 |
PUE
4 - 0
CDT
66%
20%
14%
|
62 | 56 | 6 | +1 |
| 07 Apr. 1968 |
MUR
1 - 0
PUE
46%
29%
26%
|
62 | 58 | 4 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 1968 |
PUE
2 - 1
GRA
53%
26%
22%
|
62 | 66 | 4 | 0 |