Europa League 1/16
Global 3-3
Real Madrid vs PSV analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
74.6%
Win probability
2.5
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.3%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.7%
5-0
3%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.2%
4-0
6.1%
5-1
2.4%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.9%
3-0
9.7%
4-1
4.8%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
15.5%
2-0
11.7%
3-1
7.7%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.5%
1-0
9.3%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.1%
15.6%
Draw
0-0
3.7%
1-1
7.4%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
15.6%
9.7%
Win probability
0.79
Expected goals
0-1
2.9%
1-2
2.9%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
7%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.1%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Real Madrid
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Oct. 1971 |
RMA
1 - 0
ATH
68%
20%
13%
|
88 | 84 | 4 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 1971 |
MAL
1 - 1
RMA
26%
29%
45%
|
88 | 78 | 10 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 1971 |
RMA
2 - 0
SAB
81%
13%
6%
|
88 | 72 | 16 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 1971 |
RMA
2 - 1
BAS
84%
11%
5%
|
88 | 66 | 22 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 1971 |
CCF
2 - 2
RMA
21%
29%
50%
|
88 | 69 | 19 | 0 |
Matches
PSV
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Oct. 1971 |
PSV
0 - 1
ADO
56%
24%
20%
|
83 | 82 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 1971 |
TWE
2 - 0
PSV
50%
25%
25%
|
84 | 82 | 2 | -1 |
| 29 Sep. 1971 |
PSV
2 - 0
HAL
69%
19%
13%
|
83 | 80 | 3 | +1 |
| 25 Sep. 1971 |
PSV
1 - 1
AJA
38%
27%
35%
|
83 | 88 | 5 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 1971 |
BOS
0 - 7
PSV
23%
25%
52%
|
83 | 60 | 23 | 0 |