Copa del Rey Ronda Preliminar Final
Global 10-1
Real Madrid vs Patria C.F analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
89.1%
Win probability
3.65
Expected goals
10-0
0.2%
+10
0.2%
9-0
0.4%
10-1
0.1%
+9
0.5%
8-0
1%
9-1
0.3%
10-2
<0%
+8
1.3%
7-0
2.2%
8-1
0.7%
9-2
0.1%
+7
3%
6-0
4.3%
7-1
1.5%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
6.1%
5-0
7.1%
6-1
2.9%
7-2
0.5%
8-3
0.1%
+5
10.6%
4-0
9.7%
5-1
4.8%
6-2
1%
7-3
0.1%
+4
15.7%
3-0
10.6%
4-1
6.6%
5-2
1.7%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
19.2%
2-0
8.7%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.7%
1-0
4.8%
2-1
6%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
13.8%
7.3%
Draw
0-0
1.3%
1-1
3.3%
2-2
2.1%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
7.3%
3.4%
Win probability
0.69
Expected goals
0-1
0.9%
1-2
1.1%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
2.6%
0-2
0.3%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
0.7%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
2-5
0%
-3
0.1%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Real Madrid
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 May. 1927 |
RUN
2 - 0
RMA
45%
22%
33%
|
78 | 72 | 6 | 0 |
| 01 May. 1927 |
RMA
8 - 1
EUR
84%
10%
6%
|
78 | 53 | 25 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 1927 |
EUR
4 - 1
RMA
21%
22%
57%
|
79 | 51 | 28 | -1 |
| 17 Apr. 1927 |
RMA
2 - 0
EUR
85%
10%
5%
|
79 | 51 | 28 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 1927 |
RMA
3 - 1
SEV
61%
19%
21%
|
78 | 76 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Patria C.F
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Mar. 1927 |
ATM
3 - 1
CDP
87%
9%
4%
|
7 | 81 | 74 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 1927 |
CDP
0 - 5
BET
16%
22%
62%
|
7 | 76 | 69 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 1927 |
CDP
4 - 6
ATM
14%
21%
65%
|
7 | 81 | 74 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 1927 |
BET
6 - 0
CDP
86%
9%
5%
|
8 | 76 | 68 | -1 |