Real Madrid vs Napoli analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
48.3%
Win probability
1.67
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.7%
3-0
4.4%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.1%
2-0
7.8%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.7%
1-0
9.4%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.6%
24.1%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.1%
27.6%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
0-1
6.8%
1-2
6.8%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
16.4%
0-2
4.1%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.6%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.7%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Real Madrid
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Nov. 2023 |
CAD
0 - 3
RMA
9%
18%
73%
|
96 | 80 | 16 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 2023 |
RMA
5 - 1
VCF
76%
16%
8%
|
96 | 86 | 10 | 0 |
| 08 Nov. 2023 |
RMA
3 - 0
SPB
74%
16%
10%
|
95 | 87 | 8 | +1 |
| 05 Nov. 2023 |
RMA
0 - 0
RAY
82%
13%
5%
|
96 | 82 | 14 | -1 |
| 28 Oct. 2023 |
FCB
1 - 2
RMA
38%
25%
37%
|
95 | 93 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Napoli
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Nov. 2023 |
ATL
1 - 2
NAP
39%
25%
37%
|
96 | 92 | 4 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 2023 |
NAP
0 - 1
EMP
84%
12%
4%
|
96 | 81 | 15 | 0 |
| 08 Nov. 2023 |
NAP
1 - 1
FCU
85%
11%
5%
|
96 | 85 | 11 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 2023 |
SAL
0 - 2
NAP
13%
21%
67%
|
96 | 79 | 17 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2023 |
NAP
2 - 2
ACM
62%
21%
17%
|
95 | 93 | 2 | +1 |