Champions League 1/16
Global 3-1
Real Madrid vs Napoli analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
78.3%
Win probability
2.47
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.5%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.8%
5-0
3.5%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.5%
4-0
7.2%
5-1
2.2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
9.6%
3-0
11.6%
4-1
4.4%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
16.6%
2-0
14%
3-1
7%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.5%
1-0
11.4%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.3%
14.6%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
6.9%
2-2
2.6%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
14.6%
7.1%
Win probability
0.61
Expected goals
0-1
2.8%
1-2
2.1%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
5.5%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.4%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Real Madrid
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Sep. 1987 |
ZAR
1 - 7
RMA
28%
26%
46%
|
89 | 83 | 6 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 1987 |
RMA
7 - 0
SPO
81%
13%
6%
|
89 | 83 | 6 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 1987 |
CAD
0 - 4
RMA
13%
24%
63%
|
89 | 68 | 21 | 0 |
| 21 Jun. 1987 |
RMA
2 - 2
ESP
79%
14%
7%
|
89 | 82 | 7 | 0 |
| 14 Jun. 1987 |
ZAR
1 - 3
RMA
32%
27%
41%
|
88 | 83 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
Napoli
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Sep. 1987 |
CES
0 - 1
NAP
26%
31%
43%
|
85 | 67 | 18 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 1987 |
NAP
2 - 1
FIO
64%
23%
13%
|
85 | 79 | 6 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 1987 |
NAP
1 - 0
PAD
79%
14%
7%
|
85 | 61 | 24 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 1987 |
UDI
0 - 2
NAP
39%
26%
35%
|
85 | 72 | 13 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 1987 |
LIV
0 - 2
NAP
3%
29%
68%
|
85 | 68 | 17 | 0 |