Champions League 1/16
Global 4-0
Real Madrid vs Moss analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
86.4%
Win probability
3.01
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.5%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.6%
7-0
1.3%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.6%
6-0
3%
7-1
0.7%
8-2
0.1%
+6
3.8%
5-0
6%
6-1
1.6%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
7.8%
4-0
10%
5-1
3.1%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
13.6%
3-0
13.3%
4-1
5.2%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
19.4%
2-0
13.2%
3-1
7%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.7%
1-0
8.8%
2-1
6.9%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.8%
9.7%
Draw
0-0
2.9%
1-1
4.6%
2-2
1.8%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
9.7%
3.9%
Win probability
0.53
Expected goals
0-1
1.5%
1-2
1.2%
2-3
0.3%
3-4
0%
-1
3.1%
0-2
0.4%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0%
-2
0.7%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
+18%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Real Madrid
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Sep. 1988 |
RMA
2 - 2
OSA
89%
9%
3%
|
90 | 80 | 10 | 0 |
| 22 May. 1988 |
RMA
2 - 1
VAD
86%
10%
4%
|
90 | 79 | 11 | 0 |
| 14 May. 1988 |
RSO
2 - 2
RMA
37%
26%
37%
|
90 | 86 | 4 | 0 |
| 08 May. 1988 |
RMA
3 - 1
MUR
88%
9%
3%
|
90 | 76 | 14 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 1988 |
FCB
2 - 0
RMA
37%
27%
36%
|
90 | 87 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Moss
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Sep. 1988 |
KON
3 - 0
MOS
49%
26%
25%
|
75 | 73 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 1988 |
MOS
2 - 0
VIF
61%
21%
18%
|
74 | 73 | 1 | +1 |
| 21 Aug. 1988 |
STR
0 - 1
MOS
36%
28%
36%
|
74 | 58 | 16 | 0 |
| 14 Aug. 1988 |
BRY
0 - 1
MOS
50%
26%
25%
|
74 | 69 | 5 | 0 |
| 07 Aug. 1988 |
MOS
1 - 2
TRO
65%
20%
15%
|
74 | 68 | 6 | 0 |