Real Madrid vs Milan analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
65.5%
Win probability
2.1
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.3%
4-0
4.1%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.9%
3-0
7.8%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.2%
2-0
11.2%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.9%
1-0
10.6%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24%
19.8%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
9.4%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.8%
14.7%
Win probability
0.88
Expected goals
0-1
4.5%
1-2
4.1%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10.1%
0-2
2%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.5%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
-7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Real Madrid
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Jun. 2024 |
BVB
0 - 2
RMA
27%
22%
51%
|
99 | 96 | 3 | 0 |
| 25 May. 2024 |
RMA
0 - 0
BET
78%
15%
7%
|
99 | 89 | 10 | 0 |
| 19 May. 2024 |
VIL
4 - 4
RMA
16%
20%
64%
|
99 | 90 | 9 | 0 |
| 14 May. 2024 |
RMA
5 - 0
ALA
85%
12%
4%
|
99 | 84 | 15 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2024 |
GRA
0 - 4
RMA
8%
16%
76%
|
100 | 81 | 19 | -1 |
Matches
Milan
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Jul. 2024 |
MAC
2 - 3
ACM
79%
14%
7%
|
94 | 100 | 6 | 0 |
| 20 Jul. 2024 |
RAP
1 - 1
ACM
11%
19%
70%
|
94 | 80 | 14 | 0 |
| 31 May. 2024 |
ROM
5 - 2
ACM
36%
24%
40%
|
94 | 93 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 May. 2024 |
ACM
3 - 3
SAL
82%
13%
5%
|
95 | 77 | 18 | -1 |
| 18 May. 2024 |
TOR
3 - 1
ACM
18%
24%
58%
|
95 | 88 | 7 | 0 |