Real Madrid vs Milan analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
82.5%
Win probability
2.96
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.4%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.5%
7-0
1%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.3%
6-0
2.4%
7-1
0.7%
8-2
0.1%
+6
3.2%
5-0
4.8%
6-1
1.7%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
6.8%
4-0
8.1%
5-1
3.4%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
12.2%
3-0
11%
4-1
5.8%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
18.2%
2-0
11.2%
3-1
7.8%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.3%
1-0
7.5%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
18.8%
11.5%
Draw
0-0
2.6%
1-1
5.4%
2-2
2.8%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
11.5%
6%
Win probability
0.71
Expected goals
0-1
1.8%
1-2
1.9%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
4.5%
0-2
0.6%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.2%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Real Madrid
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Aug. 2018 |
RMA
2 - 1
ROM
77%
14%
9%
|
93 | 88 | 5 | 0 |
| 05 Aug. 2018 |
RMA
3 - 1
JUV
69%
18%
13%
|
93 | 92 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 Aug. 2018 |
MUD
2 - 1
RMA
19%
22%
59%
|
93 | 89 | 4 | 0 |
| 26 May. 2018 |
RMA
3 - 1
LIV
62%
18%
19%
|
93 | 91 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 May. 2018 |
VIL
2 - 2
RMA
13%
18%
69%
|
93 | 86 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Milan
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Aug. 2018 |
ACM
1 - 0
FCB
12%
19%
68%
|
86 | 95 | 9 | 0 |
| 01 Aug. 2018 |
TOT
1 - 0
ACM
60%
22%
19%
|
86 | 88 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 Jul. 2018 |
ACM
1 - 1
MUD
38%
27%
35%
|
86 | 89 | 3 | 0 |
| 20 Jul. 2018 |
ACM
2 - 0
NOV
77%
17%
6%
|
86 | 62 | 24 | 0 |
| 20 May. 2018 |
ACM
5 - 1
FIO
42%
27%
32%
|
86 | 86 | 0 | 0 |