Real Madrid vs Milan analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
84.7%
Win probability
3.08
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.5%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.6%
7-0
1.2%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.6%
6-0
2.8%
7-1
0.8%
8-2
0.1%
+6
3.7%
5-0
5.5%
6-1
1.8%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
7.6%
4-0
8.9%
5-1
3.6%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
13.2%
3-0
11.6%
4-1
5.9%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.1%
+3
18.8%
2-0
11.3%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.2%
1-0
7.4%
2-1
7.4%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.8%
10.3%
Draw
0-0
2.4%
1-1
4.8%
2-2
2.4%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
0.1%
0
10.3%
5%
Win probability
0.66
Expected goals
0-1
1.6%
1-2
1.6%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
3.8%
0-2
0.5%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Real Madrid
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Jul. 2015 |
INT
0 - 3
RMA
10%
16%
74%
|
96 | 86 | 10 | 0 |
| 24 Jul. 2015 |
MAC
1 - 4
RMA
28%
22%
50%
|
96 | 92 | 4 | 0 |
| 18 Jul. 2015 |
RMA
0 - 0
ROM
90%
8%
3%
|
96 | 87 | 9 | 0 |
| 23 May. 2015 |
RMA
7 - 3
GET
90%
7%
3%
|
96 | 85 | 11 | 0 |
| 17 May. 2015 |
ESP
1 - 4
RMA
8%
16%
76%
|
96 | 84 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
Milan
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Jul. 2015 |
ACM
1 - 0
INT
53%
24%
23%
|
88 | 86 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Jul. 2015 |
LYO
2 - 1
ACM
34%
26%
40%
|
88 | 86 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 Jul. 2015 |
UNI
1 - 5
ACM
4%
14%
81%
|
88 | 59 | 29 | 0 |
| 10 Jul. 2015 |
ACM
5 - 1
ALC
95%
4%
1%
|
88 | 30 | 58 | 0 |
| 30 May. 2015 |
ATL
1 - 3
ACM
25%
25%
50%
|
88 | 80 | 8 | 0 |