Real Madrid vs Milan analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
69.4%
Win probability
2.32
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.3%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.2%
4-0
4.9%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.3%
3-0
8.4%
4-1
4.3%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.7%
2-0
10.9%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.6%
1-0
9.4%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23%
17.8%
Draw
0-0
4.1%
1-1
8.3%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
17.8%
12.8%
Win probability
0.89
Expected goals
0-1
3.6%
1-2
3.7%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
8.8%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Real Madrid
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Mar. 2003 |
RMA
4 - 1
RAC
81%
12%
7%
|
92 | 84 | 8 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2003 |
ALA
1 - 5
RMA
23%
24%
53%
|
92 | 85 | 7 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2003 |
BVB
1 - 1
RMA
30%
25%
45%
|
92 | 88 | 4 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 2003 |
RMA
3 - 1
VAD
80%
13%
7%
|
92 | 85 | 7 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 2003 |
RMA
2 - 1
BVB
72%
17%
11%
|
92 | 88 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Milan
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Mar. 2003 |
ACM
0 - 0
CHI
73%
18%
10%
|
90 | 82 | 8 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 2003 |
ACM
3 - 3
ATL
71%
19%
11%
|
90 | 82 | 8 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2003 |
LOK
0 - 1
ACM
36%
26%
38%
|
90 | 85 | 5 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 2003 |
TOR
0 - 3
ACM
21%
26%
52%
|
90 | 78 | 12 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 2003 |
ACM
1 - 0
LOK
65%
22%
14%
|
90 | 86 | 4 | 0 |