Real Madrid vs Milan analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
77.7%
Win probability
3.27
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
0.1%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.4%
9-1
0.2%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.6%
7-0
0.9%
8-1
0.4%
9-2
0.1%
10-3
<0%
+7
1.5%
6-0
2%
7-1
1.1%
8-2
0.3%
9-3
<0%
+6
3.4%
5-0
3.7%
6-1
2.3%
7-2
0.6%
8-3
0.1%
9-4
<0%
+5
6.8%
4-0
5.6%
5-1
4.3%
6-2
1.4%
7-3
0.2%
8-4
<0%
+4
11.6%
3-0
6.9%
4-1
6.6%
5-2
2.5%
6-3
0.5%
7-4
0.1%
+3
16.6%
2-0
6.3%
3-1
8%
4-2
3.8%
5-3
1%
6-4
0.2%
7-5
<0%
+2
19.4%
1-0
3.9%
2-1
7.4%
3-2
4.7%
4-3
1.5%
5-4
0.3%
6-5
<0%
+1
17.8%
12.4%
Draw
0-0
1.2%
1-1
4.5%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
0.1%
0
12.4%
9.8%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
0-1
1.4%
1-2
2.6%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
6.4%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
2.5%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Real Madrid
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 May. 1957 |
RMA
2 - 0
FIO
86%
9%
5%
|
89 | 85 | 4 | 0 |
| 19 May. 1957 |
FCB
6 - 1
RMA
64%
18%
19%
|
89 | 89 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 May. 1957 |
RMA
2 - 2
FCB
66%
18%
16%
|
89 | 89 | 0 | 0 |
| 01 May. 1957 |
RMA
1 - 0
UDL
89%
8%
4%
|
89 | 72 | 17 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 1957 |
UDL
1 - 4
RMA
20%
21%
59%
|
89 | 73 | 16 | 0 |
Matches
Milan
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Jun. 1957 |
VIC
3 - 1
ACM
21%
22%
58%
|
87 | 74 | 13 | 0 |
| 09 Jun. 1957 |
ACM
0 - 1
SPA
85%
10%
5%
|
87 | 73 | 14 | 0 |
| 02 Jun. 1957 |
ACM
3 - 1
ROM
81%
12%
7%
|
87 | 79 | 8 | 0 |
| 19 May. 1957 |
TOR
2 - 2
ACM
26%
23%
52%
|
87 | 77 | 10 | 0 |
| 05 May. 1957 |
GEN
0 - 1
ACM
21%
22%
57%
|
87 | 73 | 14 | 0 |