Champions League Quarter-finals
Global 3-2
Real Madrid vs Manchester United analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
44%
Win probability
1.65
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.3%
3-0
3.6%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.2%
2-0
6.6%
3-1
5%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.3%
1-0
8%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.3%
24%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
11%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24%
32%
Win probability
1.37
Expected goals
0-1
6.7%
1-2
7.6%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
17.7%
0-2
4.6%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
9.2%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.6%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Real Madrid
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Apr. 2000 |
RSO
1 - 1
RMA
31%
25%
44%
|
89 | 84 | 5 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2000 |
RMA
0 - 0
RAY
78%
14%
8%
|
90 | 80 | 10 | -1 |
| 22 Mar. 2000 |
RBK
0 - 1
RMA
27%
23%
51%
|
89 | 84 | 5 | +1 |
| 18 Mar. 2000 |
ATM
1 - 1
RMA
37%
24%
39%
|
89 | 85 | 4 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 2000 |
RMA
2 - 2
DYN
70%
18%
13%
|
90 | 85 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
Manchester United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Apr. 2000 |
MUD
7 - 1
WHU
77%
15%
8%
|
92 | 81 | 11 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2000 |
BRA
0 - 4
MUD
15%
21%
64%
|
92 | 69 | 23 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 2000 |
VCF
0 - 0
MUD
33%
24%
43%
|
92 | 89 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2000 |
LEI
0 - 2
MUD
22%
23%
55%
|
91 | 81 | 10 | +1 |
| 15 Mar. 2000 |
MUD
3 - 1
FIO
63%
22%
15%
|
91 | 88 | 3 | 0 |