Champions League 1/16
Global 3-0
Real Madrid vs Levski Sofia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
83.1%
Win probability
2.79
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.4%
7-0
0.9%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.1%
6-0
2.3%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.8%
5-0
4.9%
6-1
1.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
6.3%
4-0
8.7%
5-1
2.8%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
11.9%
3-0
12.5%
4-1
5%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
18.4%
2-0
13.5%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
22.3%
1-0
9.7%
2-1
7.7%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.8%
11.7%
Draw
0-0
3.5%
1-1
5.5%
2-2
2.2%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
11.7%
5.2%
Win probability
0.57
Expected goals
0-1
2%
1-2
1.6%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0.1%
-1
4.1%
0-2
0.6%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0.1%
-2
0.9%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Real Madrid
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Sep. 1979 |
ALM
1 - 1
RMA
26%
26%
48%
|
87 | 67 | 20 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 1979 |
RMA
3 - 2
FCB
66%
20%
15%
|
87 | 87 | 0 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 1979 |
LSO
0 - 1
RMA
39%
25%
36%
|
87 | 76 | 11 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 1979 |
RAY
1 - 2
RMA
26%
27%
47%
|
87 | 71 | 16 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 1979 |
RMA
3 - 1
VCF
73%
17%
10%
|
86 | 83 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Levski Sofia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Sep. 1979 |
BER
3 - 1
LSO
53%
24%
24%
|
76 | 71 | 5 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 1979 |
LSO
2 - 2
CVA
71%
17%
11%
|
76 | 69 | 7 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 1979 |
LSO
0 - 1
RMA
39%
25%
36%
|
76 | 87 | 11 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 1979 |
BOT
4 - 0
LSO
47%
26%
27%
|
77 | 71 | 6 | -1 |
| 08 Sep. 1979 |
LSO
1 - 0
OFK
75%
16%
9%
|
77 | 70 | 7 | 0 |