Europa League 1/32
Global 0-1
Real Madrid vs Ipswich Town analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
61%
Win probability
1.91
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.7%
4-0
3.3%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.7%
3-0
7%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.6%
2-0
10.9%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.8%
1-0
11.4%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.6%
21.7%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.7%
17.2%
Win probability
0.9
Expected goals
0-1
5.4%
1-2
4.7%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.6%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.2%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Real Madrid
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Sep. 1973 |
RMA
4 - 0
ZAR
71%
18%
10%
|
84 | 75 | 9 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 1973 |
ATH
2 - 1
RMA
47%
27%
26%
|
85 | 82 | 3 | -1 |
| 19 Sep. 1973 |
IPS
1 - 0
RMA
58%
23%
19%
|
85 | 84 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 1973 |
RMA
1 - 1
MUR
77%
16%
7%
|
85 | 65 | 20 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 1973 |
GRA
1 - 1
RMA
29%
31%
40%
|
85 | 74 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Ipswich Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Sep. 1973 |
BIR
0 - 3
IPS
53%
24%
23%
|
84 | 82 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 1973 |
IPS
3 - 2
BUR
53%
25%
22%
|
84 | 83 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 1973 |
IPS
1 - 0
RMA
58%
23%
19%
|
84 | 85 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 1973 |
STO
1 - 1
IPS
53%
25%
22%
|
84 | 84 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 1973 |
NEW
3 - 1
IPS
60%
23%
17%
|
84 | 87 | 3 | 0 |