Europa League Semi-finals
Global 3-2
Real Madrid vs Inter analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
63.3%
Win probability
1.87
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.7%
4-0
3.6%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.8%
3-0
7.7%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
11%
2-0
12.4%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.6%
1-0
13.2%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.5%
21.8%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.8%
15%
Win probability
0.78
Expected goals
0-1
5.5%
1-2
4%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
10.6%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.4%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Real Madrid
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Apr. 1985 |
RMA
0 - 1
HER
80%
13%
7%
|
85 | 71 | 14 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 1985 |
VCF
1 - 0
RMA
39%
27%
35%
|
86 | 78 | 8 | -1 |
| 10 Apr. 1985 |
INT
2 - 0
RMA
47%
28%
25%
|
86 | 85 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 1985 |
RMA
0 - 4
ATM
59%
21%
19%
|
86 | 86 | 0 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 1985 |
ATH
2 - 0
RMA
56%
24%
20%
|
87 | 86 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Inter
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Apr. 1985 |
NAP
3 - 1
INT
31%
30%
39%
|
85 | 76 | 9 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 1985 |
INT
1 - 0
FIO
59%
23%
17%
|
85 | 81 | 4 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 1985 |
INT
2 - 0
RMA
47%
28%
25%
|
85 | 86 | 1 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 1985 |
UDI
2 - 1
INT
43%
26%
31%
|
85 | 75 | 10 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 1985 |
JUV
3 - 1
INT
72%
18%
11%
|
85 | 88 | 3 | 0 |