Champions League Last 16
Global 6-3
Real Madrid vs Hvidovre IF analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
86.5%
Win probability
3.23
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.3%
8-0
0.6%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.8%
7-0
1.5%
8-1
0.4%
9-2
<0%
+7
2%
6-0
3.3%
7-1
1%
8-2
0.1%
+6
4.4%
5-0
6.1%
6-1
2.1%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
8.5%
4-0
9.5%
5-1
3.9%
6-2
0.7%
7-3
0.1%
+4
14.1%
3-0
11.7%
4-1
6.1%
5-2
1.3%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
19.2%
2-0
10.9%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.6%
1-0
6.7%
2-1
7%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
16.6%
9.2%
Draw
0-0
2.1%
1-1
4.3%
2-2
2.2%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
0.1%
0
9.2%
4.3%
Win probability
0.64
Expected goals
0-1
1.3%
1-2
1.4%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
3.3%
0-2
0.4%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
0.8%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Real Madrid
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Nov. 1967 |
RMA
4 - 0
CCF
81%
13%
6%
|
90 | 76 | 14 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 1967 |
SAB
2 - 4
RMA
25%
27%
48%
|
90 | 74 | 16 | 0 |
| 15 Nov. 1967 |
HVI
2 - 2
RMA
24%
24%
53%
|
90 | 57 | 33 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 1967 |
RMA
3 - 0
BET
81%
13%
6%
|
90 | 75 | 15 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 1967 |
VCF
2 - 0
RMA
43%
26%
32%
|
90 | 85 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Hvidovre IF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Nov. 1967 |
HVI
2 - 2
RMA
24%
24%
53%
|
57 | 90 | 33 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 1967 |
HVI
3 - 3
BAS
45%
21%
34%
|
57 | 69 | 12 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 1967 |
BAS
1 - 2
HVI
71%
15%
14%
|
56 | 70 | 14 | +1 |
| 16 Nov. 1966 |
HVI
2 - 2
EIN
23%
22%
55%
|
55 | 85 | 30 | +1 |
| 09 Nov. 1966 |
EIN
5 - 1
HVI
84%
10%
5%
|
55 | 84 | 29 | 0 |