Cup Winners Cup 1/16
Global 5-0
Real Madrid vs Hibernians analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
85.8%
Win probability
3.13
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.5%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.7%
7-0
1.4%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.7%
6-0
3%
7-1
0.8%
8-2
0.1%
+6
4%
5-0
5.8%
6-1
1.9%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
8%
4-0
9.4%
5-1
3.6%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
13.7%
3-0
12%
4-1
5.8%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
19.1%
2-0
11.5%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21%
1-0
7.4%
2-1
7.2%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.3%
9.7%
Draw
0-0
2.4%
1-1
4.6%
2-2
2.2%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
0.1%
0
9.7%
4.5%
Win probability
0.62
Expected goals
0-1
1.5%
1-2
1.4%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
3.4%
0-2
0.5%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0.1%
-2
0.8%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Real Madrid
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Sep. 1970 |
RMA
3 - 2
GRA
81%
13%
6%
|
86 | 73 | 13 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 1970 |
SEV
3 - 1
RMA
29%
28%
44%
|
87 | 78 | 9 | -1 |
| 16 Sep. 1970 |
HIB
0 - 0
RMA
25%
24%
51%
|
87 | 62 | 25 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 1970 |
RMA
2 - 0
VCF
74%
17%
9%
|
87 | 82 | 5 | 0 |
| 28 Jun. 1970 |
RMA
3 - 1
VCF
81%
12%
8%
|
87 | 83 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Hibernians
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Sep. 1970 |
HIB
0 - 0
RMA
25%
24%
51%
|
62 | 87 | 25 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 1969 |
TNV
4 - 0
HIB
70%
16%
14%
|
63 | 74 | 11 | -1 |
| 17 Sep. 1969 |
HIB
2 - 2
TNV
37%
22%
41%
|
63 | 74 | 11 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 1968 |
HIB
0 - 6
ARI
43%
22%
35%
|
65 | 72 | 7 | -2 |
| 11 Sep. 1968 |
ARI
1 - 0
HIB
62%
19%
20%
|
65 | 71 | 6 | 0 |