Real Madrid vs Hércules analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
80.4%
Win probability
3.19
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.4%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.6%
7-0
1%
8-1
0.4%
9-2
0.1%
+7
1.5%
6-0
2.3%
7-1
1%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
3.5%
5-0
4.3%
6-1
2.2%
7-2
0.5%
8-3
0.1%
+5
7.1%
4-0
6.8%
5-1
4.2%
6-2
1.1%
7-3
0.2%
8-4
<0%
+4
12.2%
3-0
8.5%
4-1
6.5%
5-2
2%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
17.4%
2-0
8%
3-1
8.2%
4-2
3.1%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
20.1%
1-0
5%
2-1
7.7%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
17.9%
11.7%
Draw
0-0
1.6%
1-1
4.8%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
11.7%
7.9%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
0-1
1.5%
1-2
2.3%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
5.4%
0-2
0.7%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0.1%
-2
1.8%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Real Madrid
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Feb. 1942 |
CAS
0 - 3
RMA
23%
22%
55%
|
88 | 70 | 18 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 1942 |
RMA
1 - 1
OVI
76%
13%
11%
|
89 | 79 | 10 | -1 |
| 08 Feb. 1942 |
SEV
2 - 2
RMA
55%
20%
25%
|
89 | 85 | 4 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 1942 |
RMA
3 - 0
DEP
83%
11%
6%
|
89 | 72 | 17 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 1942 |
FCB
0 - 2
RMA
41%
23%
36%
|
88 | 81 | 7 | +1 |
Matches
Hércules
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Feb. 1942 |
HER
1 - 3
CEL
43%
21%
36%
|
74 | 77 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 1942 |
ESP
2 - 0
HER
70%
16%
14%
|
75 | 83 | 8 | -1 |
| 08 Feb. 1942 |
ATM
5 - 1
HER
76%
14%
11%
|
75 | 86 | 11 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 1942 |
HER
0 - 1
CAS
65%
17%
18%
|
76 | 67 | 9 | -1 |
| 25 Jan. 1942 |
OVI
2 - 0
HER
64%
16%
20%
|
76 | 78 | 2 | 0 |