Real Madrid vs Hércules analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
80.4%
Win probability
3.02
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.4%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.5%
7-0
0.9%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.3%
6-0
2.2%
7-1
0.8%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
3.1%
5-0
4.3%
6-1
1.9%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
6.6%
4-0
7.1%
5-1
3.7%
6-2
0.8%
7-3
0.1%
+4
11.8%
3-0
9.5%
4-1
6.2%
5-2
1.6%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
17.5%
2-0
9.4%
3-1
8.2%
4-2
2.7%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
20.7%
1-0
6.2%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
18.7%
12.1%
Draw
0-0
2.1%
1-1
5.4%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
12.1%
7.5%
Win probability
0.86
Expected goals
0-1
1.8%
1-2
2.3%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
5.3%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
1.7%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
+28%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Real Madrid
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Apr. 1940 |
FCB
0 - 0
RMA
39%
23%
38%
|
89 | 83 | 6 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 1940 |
RMA
5 - 1
ZAR
90%
7%
3%
|
89 | 73 | 16 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 1940 |
BET
0 - 4
RMA
28%
24%
48%
|
89 | 78 | 11 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 1940 |
RMA
2 - 0
ATM
78%
13%
9%
|
89 | 78 | 11 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 1940 |
VCF
3 - 1
RMA
32%
24%
44%
|
89 | 77 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
Hércules
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Apr. 1940 |
HER
1 - 0
ATH
34%
23%
43%
|
77 | 87 | 10 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 1940 |
HER
1 - 2
FCB
45%
22%
33%
|
78 | 82 | 4 | -1 |
| 31 Mar. 1940 |
ZAR
0 - 0
HER
47%
21%
32%
|
78 | 73 | 5 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 1940 |
HER
3 - 0
BET
52%
22%
26%
|
77 | 79 | 2 | +1 |
| 17 Mar. 1940 |
ATM
2 - 1
HER
62%
19%
19%
|
78 | 78 | 0 | -1 |