Real Madrid vs Hércules analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
90%
Win probability
3.91
Expected goals
10-0
0.2%
+10
0.2%
9-0
0.6%
10-1
0.2%
+9
0.7%
8-0
1.3%
9-1
0.4%
10-2
0.1%
+8
1.8%
7-0
2.6%
8-1
1%
9-2
0.2%
10-3
<0%
+7
3.8%
6-0
4.7%
7-1
2%
8-2
0.4%
9-3
<0%
+6
7.1%
5-0
7.2%
6-1
3.5%
7-2
0.7%
8-3
0.1%
+5
11.6%
4-0
9.2%
5-1
5.4%
6-2
1.3%
7-3
0.2%
8-4
<0%
+4
16.1%
3-0
9.4%
4-1
6.9%
5-2
2%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
18.7%
2-0
7.2%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
2.6%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
17.5%
1-0
3.7%
2-1
5.4%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
12.5%
6.6%
Draw
0-0
0.9%
1-1
2.8%
2-2
2%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
6.6%
3.2%
Win probability
0.75
Expected goals
0-1
0.7%
1-2
1%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
2.4%
0-2
0.3%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
0.6%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
2-5
0%
-3
0.1%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Real Madrid
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Jan. 1936 |
RMA
5 - 1
BET
75%
14%
11%
|
89 | 83 | 6 | 0 |
| 12 Jan. 1936 |
ATH
1 - 0
RMA
69%
16%
16%
|
89 | 89 | 0 | 0 |
| 05 Jan. 1936 |
RMA
6 - 2
OSA
79%
12%
9%
|
89 | 72 | 17 | 0 |
| 29 Dec. 1935 |
RMA
5 - 4
OVI
71%
15%
14%
|
89 | 81 | 8 | 0 |
| 22 Dec. 1935 |
FCB
0 - 3
RMA
53%
20%
27%
|
89 | 85 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Hércules
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Jan. 1936 |
FCB
1 - 0
HER
87%
8%
5%
|
73 | 84 | 11 | 0 |
| 12 Jan. 1936 |
HER
4 - 1
RAC
29%
20%
51%
|
71 | 79 | 8 | +2 |
| 05 Jan. 1936 |
SEV
1 - 2
HER
76%
13%
11%
|
71 | 79 | 8 | 0 |
| 29 Dec. 1935 |
HER
2 - 0
VCF
41%
21%
38%
|
70 | 76 | 6 | +1 |
| 22 Dec. 1935 |
ATM
1 - 2
HER
72%
15%
13%
|
69 | 75 | 6 | +1 |