Copa del Rey Semi-finals
Global 8-2
Real Madrid vs Hércules analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
83%
Win probability
3.33
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
0.1%
+9
0.3%
8-0
0.5%
9-1
0.2%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.7%
7-0
1.3%
8-1
0.5%
9-2
0.1%
+7
1.9%
6-0
2.7%
7-1
1.2%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
4.2%
5-0
4.9%
6-1
2.5%
7-2
0.5%
8-3
0.1%
+5
8%
4-0
7.4%
5-1
4.5%
6-2
1.1%
7-3
0.2%
8-4
<0%
+4
13.2%
3-0
8.9%
4-1
6.7%
5-2
2%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
18%
2-0
8%
3-1
8.1%
4-2
3%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
19.8%
1-0
4.8%
2-1
7.3%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
16.8%
10.5%
Draw
0-0
1.5%
1-1
4.4%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
10.5%
6.5%
Win probability
0.91
Expected goals
0-1
1.3%
1-2
2%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
4.6%
0-2
0.6%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
1.5%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
+24%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Real Madrid
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 May. 1936 |
RMA
2 - 1
ATH
64%
17%
19%
|
89 | 88 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 May. 1936 |
RMA
6 - 1
ARE
84%
10%
6%
|
89 | 66 | 23 | 0 |
| 17 May. 1936 |
ARE
2 - 1
RMA
28%
23%
49%
|
89 | 65 | 24 | 0 |
| 10 May. 1936 |
RMA
2 - 1
ARE
85%
10%
6%
|
89 | 65 | 24 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 1936 |
ATH
0 - 1
RMA
70%
15%
15%
|
89 | 88 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Hércules
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 May. 1936 |
HER
3 - 0
ZAR
64%
19%
17%
|
74 | 70 | 4 | 0 |
| 24 May. 1936 |
ZAR
1 - 1
HER
55%
21%
25%
|
74 | 70 | 4 | 0 |
| 19 May. 1936 |
HER
2 - 0
SEV
49%
22%
29%
|
73 | 77 | 4 | +1 |
| 17 May. 1936 |
HER
4 - 2
SEV
45%
22%
32%
|
72 | 78 | 6 | +1 |
| 10 May. 1936 |
SEV
3 - 1
HER
66%
18%
17%
|
72 | 77 | 5 | 0 |