Champions League Last 16
Global 3-3
Real Madrid vs Grasshopper analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
76.5%
Win probability
2.52
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.4%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.8%
5-0
3.3%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.4%
4-0
6.6%
5-1
2.4%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
9.3%
3-0
10.5%
4-1
4.7%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
16.1%
2-0
12.5%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.9%
1-0
9.9%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22%
15%
Draw
0-0
3.9%
1-1
7.1%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
15%
8.5%
Win probability
0.72
Expected goals
0-1
2.8%
1-2
2.6%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
6.3%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.8%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Real Madrid
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Oct. 1978 |
RMA
2 - 1
ATH
68%
19%
13%
|
87 | 85 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 1978 |
UDL
2 - 2
RMA
37%
25%
38%
|
87 | 82 | 5 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 1978 |
PRO
0 - 7
RMA
22%
23%
55%
|
87 | 61 | 26 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 1978 |
RMA
3 - 1
FCB
61%
22%
18%
|
86 | 87 | 1 | +1 |
| 17 Sep. 1978 |
HER
1 - 2
RMA
28%
26%
45%
|
86 | 76 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Grasshopper
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Oct. 1978 |
GCZ
2 - 3
STG
76%
14%
10%
|
82 | 71 | 11 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 1978 |
BAS
3 - 2
GCZ
54%
23%
24%
|
82 | 78 | 4 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 1978 |
VAL
3 - 5
GCZ
11%
18%
71%
|
82 | 60 | 22 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 1978 |
NEX
0 - 0
GCZ
32%
24%
45%
|
82 | 71 | 11 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 1978 |
GCZ
1 - 0
CSC
80%
12%
8%
|
82 | 67 | 15 | 0 |