Copa del Rey 1/16
Global 6-0
Real Madrid vs Granada analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
94.5%
Win probability
4.2
Expected goals
10-0
0.4%
+10
0.4%
9-0
1.1%
10-1
0.2%
+9
1.3%
8-0
2.3%
9-1
0.5%
10-2
<0%
+8
2.8%
7-0
4.4%
8-1
1%
9-2
0.1%
+7
5.5%
6-0
7.3%
7-1
2%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
9.5%
5-0
10.4%
6-1
3.3%
7-2
0.5%
8-3
<0%
+5
14.1%
4-0
12.3%
5-1
4.7%
6-2
0.8%
7-3
0.1%
+4
17.9%
3-0
11.7%
4-1
5.6%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
18.5%
2-0
8.4%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.2%
1-0
4%
2-1
3.8%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
9.2%
3.8%
Draw
0-0
1%
1-1
1.8%
2-2
0.9%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
3.8%
1.2%
Win probability
0.46
Expected goals
0-1
0.4%
1-2
0.4%
2-3
0.1%
3-4
0%
-1
1%
0-2
0.1%
1-3
0.1%
2-4
0%
-2
0.2%
0-3
0%
-3
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Real Madrid
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Apr. 1963 |
GRA
0 - 3
RMA
11%
18%
71%
|
93 | 64 | 29 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 1963 |
ATH
0 - 1
RMA
23%
23%
54%
|
93 | 84 | 9 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 1963 |
RMA
5 - 2
MLL
91%
7%
3%
|
93 | 75 | 18 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 1963 |
OSA
1 - 1
RMA
17%
21%
62%
|
93 | 75 | 18 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 1963 |
RMA
1 - 0
CCF
91%
6%
3%
|
93 | 71 | 22 | 0 |
Matches
Granada
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Apr. 1963 |
GRA
0 - 3
RMA
11%
18%
71%
|
64 | 93 | 29 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 1963 |
GRA
2 - 0
SFE
64%
21%
15%
|
63 | 56 | 7 | +1 |
| 14 Apr. 1963 |
REC
4 - 0
GRA
47%
26%
27%
|
64 | 56 | 8 | -1 |
| 07 Apr. 1963 |
GRA
0 - 1
MUR
61%
23%
15%
|
65 | 64 | 1 | -1 |
| 31 Mar. 1963 |
RJA
3 - 0
GRA
40%
27%
33%
|
66 | 52 | 14 | -1 |