Real Madrid vs Granada analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
93.5%
Win probability
4.19
Expected goals
10-0
0.4%
+10
0.4%
9-0
0.9%
10-1
0.2%
+9
1.2%
8-0
2%
9-1
0.5%
10-2
0.1%
+8
2.6%
7-0
3.9%
8-1
1.1%
9-2
0.1%
10-3
<0%
+7
5.2%
6-0
6.5%
7-1
2.2%
8-2
0.3%
9-3
<0%
+6
9%
5-0
9.3%
6-1
3.6%
7-2
0.6%
8-3
0.1%
+5
13.6%
4-0
11.1%
5-1
5.2%
6-2
1%
7-3
0.1%
+4
17.5%
3-0
10.7%
4-1
6.2%
5-2
1.4%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
18.5%
2-0
7.6%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.6%
1-0
3.6%
2-1
4.3%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
9.9%
4.4%
Draw
0-0
0.9%
1-1
2%
2-2
1.2%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
4.4%
1.6%
Win probability
0.56
Expected goals
0-1
0.5%
1-2
0.6%
2-3
0.2%
3-4
0%
-1
1.3%
0-2
0.1%
1-3
0.1%
2-4
0%
-2
0.3%
0-3
0%
1-4
0%
-3
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Real Madrid
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Feb. 1961 |
SEV
0 - 2
RMA
21%
22%
57%
|
93 | 83 | 10 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 1961 |
RMA
2 - 0
VCF
91%
6%
3%
|
93 | 83 | 10 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 1961 |
ESP
1 - 2
RMA
16%
21%
64%
|
93 | 80 | 13 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 1961 |
RMA
8 - 0
ELC
93%
5%
2%
|
93 | 70 | 23 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 1961 |
RSO
0 - 4
RMA
15%
20%
66%
|
93 | 76 | 17 | 0 |
Matches
Granada
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Feb. 1961 |
ATH
3 - 0
GRA
86%
9%
5%
|
73 | 87 | 14 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 1961 |
GRA
0 - 2
SEV
36%
24%
40%
|
73 | 83 | 10 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 1961 |
VCF
3 - 1
GRA
65%
20%
16%
|
74 | 83 | 9 | -1 |
| 22 Jan. 1961 |
GRA
1 - 2
ESP
48%
25%
28%
|
74 | 80 | 6 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 1961 |
ELC
1 - 2
GRA
64%
19%
17%
|
74 | 70 | 4 | 0 |