Copa del Rey 1/16
Global 3-2
Real Madrid vs Gimnástica Torrelavega analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
91.4%
Win probability
3.64
Expected goals
10-0
0.2%
+10
0.2%
9-0
0.5%
10-1
0.1%
+9
0.6%
8-0
1.2%
9-1
0.2%
10-2
<0%
+8
1.5%
7-0
2.6%
8-1
0.6%
9-2
0.1%
+7
3.3%
6-0
5.1%
7-1
1.3%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
6.6%
5-0
8.4%
6-1
2.6%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
11.3%
4-0
11.5%
5-1
4.3%
6-2
0.7%
7-3
0.1%
+4
16.5%
3-0
12.7%
4-1
5.9%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
19.8%
2-0
10.4%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.6%
1-0
5.7%
2-1
5.3%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
13%
6.2%
Draw
0-0
1.6%
1-1
2.9%
2-2
1.4%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
6.2%
2.3%
Win probability
0.51
Expected goals
0-1
0.8%
1-2
0.8%
2-3
0.2%
3-4
0%
-1
1.8%
0-2
0.2%
1-3
0.1%
2-4
0%
-2
0.4%
0-3
0%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Real Madrid
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Apr. 1967 |
GIM
2 - 2
RMA
15%
23%
62%
|
92 | 47 | 45 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 1967 |
RMA
5 - 0
SAB
85%
11%
5%
|
92 | 74 | 18 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 1967 |
ATM
2 - 2
RMA
51%
24%
25%
|
92 | 89 | 3 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 1967 |
RMA
3 - 0
CCF
82%
12%
6%
|
91 | 78 | 13 | +1 |
| 01 Apr. 1967 |
VCF
0 - 0
RMA
41%
26%
34%
|
92 | 85 | 7 | -1 |
Matches
Gimnástica Torrelavega
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Apr. 1967 |
GIM
2 - 2
RMA
15%
23%
62%
|
47 | 92 | 45 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 1967 |
OSA
3 - 0
GIM
78%
15%
8%
|
48 | 62 | 14 | -1 |
| 16 Apr. 1967 |
GIM
1 - 0
BUR
55%
22%
22%
|
47 | 50 | 3 | +1 |
| 09 Apr. 1967 |
SPO
0 - 0
GIM
86%
10%
5%
|
47 | 68 | 21 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 1967 |
GIM
0 - 0
RCF
47%
23%
30%
|
46 | 53 | 7 | +1 |