Real Madrid vs Partizan Belgrade analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
89.5%
Win probability
3.45
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.3%
10-1
0.1%
+9
0.4%
8-0
0.9%
9-1
0.2%
10-2
<0%
+8
1.1%
7-0
2.1%
8-1
0.5%
9-2
0.1%
+7
2.7%
6-0
4.3%
7-1
1.2%
8-2
0.1%
+6
5.6%
5-0
7.4%
6-1
2.4%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
10.1%
4-0
10.7%
5-1
4.1%
6-2
0.7%
7-3
0.1%
+4
15.6%
3-0
12.5%
4-1
6%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
19.7%
2-0
10.8%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.7%
1-0
6.3%
2-1
6%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
14.6%
7.4%
Draw
0-0
1.8%
1-1
3.5%
2-2
1.7%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
7.4%
3%
Win probability
0.56
Expected goals
0-1
1%
1-2
1%
2-3
0.3%
3-4
0%
-1
2.3%
0-2
0.3%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0%
-2
0.5%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
+10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Real Madrid
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Oct. 2003 |
CEL
0 - 2
RMA
26%
24%
50%
|
93 | 89 | 4 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2003 |
SSR
0 - 3
RMA
8%
17%
75%
|
93 | 45 | 48 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2003 |
RMA
2 - 1
ESP
85%
10%
5%
|
93 | 85 | 8 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2003 |
FCP
1 - 3
RMA
30%
24%
46%
|
93 | 88 | 5 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2003 |
VCF
2 - 0
RMA
34%
25%
41%
|
94 | 92 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Partizan Belgrade
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Oct. 2003 |
PAR
1 - 0
NAP
67%
18%
15%
|
73 | 73 | 0 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2003 |
SME
2 - 1
PAR
42%
25%
33%
|
73 | 73 | 0 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2003 |
MAR
3 - 0
PAR
62%
21%
16%
|
74 | 86 | 12 | -1 |
| 26 Sep. 2003 |
PAR
2 - 1
VOJ
69%
18%
13%
|
73 | 73 | 0 | +1 |
| 20 Sep. 2003 |
SUT
0 - 1
PAR
41%
25%
34%
|
73 | 73 | 0 | 0 |