Real Madrid vs Fiorentina analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
88.6%
Win probability
3.21
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.3%
8-0
0.7%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.8%
7-0
1.7%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
<0%
+7
2.1%
6-0
3.7%
7-1
0.9%
8-2
0.1%
+6
4.6%
5-0
6.9%
6-1
1.9%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
9%
4-0
10.8%
5-1
3.5%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
<0%
+4
14.8%
3-0
13.5%
4-1
5.4%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
19.8%
2-0
12.6%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.9%
1-0
7.9%
2-1
6.3%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
16.1%
8.3%
Draw
0-0
2.5%
1-1
3.9%
2-2
1.6%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
8.3%
3.1%
Win probability
0.5
Expected goals
0-1
1.2%
1-2
1%
2-3
0.3%
3-4
0%
-1
2.5%
0-2
0.3%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0%
-2
0.5%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Real Madrid
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Aug. 2017 |
DEP
0 - 3
RMA
4%
11%
85%
|
95 | 82 | 13 | 0 |
| 16 Aug. 2017 |
RMA
2 - 0
FCB
45%
21%
34%
|
95 | 95 | 0 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 2017 |
FCB
1 - 3
RMA
56%
19%
26%
|
94 | 95 | 1 | +1 |
| 08 Aug. 2017 |
RMA
2 - 1
MUD
79%
13%
8%
|
94 | 89 | 5 | 0 |
| 03 Aug. 2017 |
MLS
1 - 1
RMA
2%
8%
90%
|
94 | 14 | 80 | 0 |
Matches
Fiorentina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Aug. 2017 |
INT
3 - 0
FIO
50%
23%
27%
|
86 | 86 | 0 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 2017 |
FIO
0 - 0
PAR
76%
16%
8%
|
86 | 62 | 24 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 2017 |
PIS
0 - 3
FIO
7%
17%
76%
|
86 | 46 | 40 | 0 |
| 06 Aug. 2017 |
WOL
0 - 2
FIO
40%
26%
35%
|
86 | 85 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 Aug. 2017 |
EBT
2 - 3
FIO
23%
24%
53%
|
86 | 74 | 12 | 0 |