Real Madrid vs Ferencvárosi analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
73.9%
Win probability
2.38
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.4%
5-0
2.8%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.7%
4-0
5.9%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.3%
3-0
9.9%
4-1
4.4%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
15.1%
2-0
12.5%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.7%
1-0
10.5%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.9%
16.4%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
7.8%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
16.4%
9.8%
Win probability
0.74
Expected goals
0-1
3.3%
1-2
2.9%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
7.1%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.1%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
+12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Real Madrid
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Oct. 1995 |
SLA
0 - 2
RMA
21%
23%
56%
|
87 | 70 | 17 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 1995 |
RMA
2 - 1
COM
77%
15%
8%
|
87 | 76 | 11 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 1995 |
VCF
4 - 3
RMA
40%
24%
36%
|
87 | 83 | 4 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 1995 |
RMA
1 - 1
FCB
44%
23%
33%
|
87 | 89 | 2 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 1995 |
RMA
2 - 0
GCZ
69%
19%
12%
|
87 | 83 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Ferencvárosi
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Oct. 1995 |
FTC
3 - 0
STA
72%
17%
11%
|
77 | 68 | 9 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 1995 |
CSE
1 - 2
FTC
34%
26%
40%
|
77 | 65 | 12 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 1995 |
FTC
1 - 5
AJA
27%
26%
47%
|
77 | 88 | 11 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 1995 |
FTC
2 - 0
GYO
64%
21%
15%
|
77 | 72 | 5 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 1995 |
SAM
1 - 2
FTC
34%
27%
39%
|
76 | 68 | 8 | +1 |